This is a reproduction of a brief article introducing a conference in May on this subject. I am reproducing it because it has no permalink.
The original “Limits to Growth Report” (1972 Meadows et al) did
not include a time line for the global growth scenarios it examined.
With the addition of statistical data for the following 40 years it is
now possible “to fit to the curve” and make rough predictions based on
observed resource production and consumption patterns, overlaid upon
continued population growth.
For 50 years serious thinkers have questioned the assumptions of our global industrial culture and its prospects over the longer term. In recent decades they have succeeded in bringing at least some of the core science into popular discussion, notably petroleum depletion and especially climate change. Through these years proposals have been made outlining the governmental policies that would be necessary to begin “solving” these problems. Sadly, we can now see through the course of events, or rather non-events, that the window of opportunity is closing, if not already closed. We are now confronted not by a problem, but by a predicament; one which has no solution, but only adaptations and mitigation's.