We’ve lived so long under the spell of hierarchy—from god-kings to feudal lords to party bosses—that only recently have we awakened to see not only that “regular” citizens have the capacity for self-governance, but that without their engagement our huge global crises cannot be addressed. The changes needed for human society simply to survive, let alone thrive, are so profound that the only way we will move toward them is if we ourselves, regular citizens, feel meaningful ownership of solutions through direct engagement. Our problems are too big, interrelated, and pervasive to yield to directives from on high.
—Frances Moore Lappé, excerpt from Time for Progressives to Grow Up

Thursday, November 15, 2018

A review of the predictions I made on Oct. 26, 2018

by Ron Horn

On Oct. 26 I wrote the following in a post:
I predict two things will happen: the stock market, although the economy rests on very tenuous or unstable foundations, it will pick up after the elections because our masters have a great deal of control over it; secondly, the FBI will never solve who was sending these mail-bombs simply because agents employed by our masters did it. (Need I predict that our masters will succeed in their attempt to elect a majority of Democrats?)

Although the stock market continued to decline after Oct. 26, it began to climb at the end of the day on Oct. 30 to around 26,200 on Nov. 8 (two days after the election), after which it has declined. This is, except for the first few day, the opposite of what I predicted. 

Regarding the second prediction, a guy (Cesar Sayoc, 56) was caught almost immediately (Oct. 26), but as yet he has only been formally accused guilty by a grand jury (which is easy to do), but has not been judged guilty because a trial has not yet taken place. It should be noted that nobody was killed or injured by the mailed pipe-bombs. I have not seen an reports that the any of them have been exploded, although the police claimed that they were authentic. 

Finally, the results of the election indicated that Trump lost a few seats in the US Senate but Democrats gained a majority in the House of Representatives. Thus, Trump lost ground in both houses of Congress.

Overall, my predictions are not validated by the results to date, although we must await a trial to see if Sayoc is convicted. The influence on the stock market as I predicted is not supported by the evidence. This experience illustrated how much I allowed cynicism to influence what I predicted, and it should teach me not to make predictions.